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【新唐人2013年04月04日讯】最近挑衅言行不断，在宣布废除《停战协定》，切断韩朝军事热线，单方面宣布韩朝进入战争状态后。3月31号，朝鲜进一步威胁，将全面启动所有核设施，朝鲜半岛局势随之不断升级。有消息说，中共已经向中朝边界派遣军队，目前，海、陆、空处于最高级的一级战备状态。
《美联社》4月1号报导，据美方情报指出，3月中旬以来，中国 大陆 的解放军已加大在中朝边境的军事活动，其中包括加派部队。
文章 指出，中共当局调往中朝边境的部队，包括第190机械化步兵旅部分兵力。190机械化步兵旅原驻防辽宁本溪，隶属39军，原机步190师，为解放军的首支机械化师。另外，中共战机在边境升空，同时，在黄海举行舰艇实弹演习。
此外，在吉林省吉安市的街道上，可以看到大批解放军部队，这些部队都进入备战状态。不仅如此，在中、朝分界线的鸭绿江附近，中国人民解放军 军队还装备有重装甲车、坦克、装甲运兵车等设备。
与此同时，朝鲜也正在动员导弹部队，如使用六轮陆基机动短程和中程导弹，来抵御威胁。报导分析，朝鲜此举是为了应对美国和韩国的联合军演。
4月2号下午，美国国务卿克里和韩国外交部长官尹炳世在华府会晤。美国两艘可摧毁导弹的战舰正在赶往朝鲜近海区域，此外，美国两架F-22隐形战斗机为参加美、韩〝鹞鹰〞（FE）联合军演，已经在3月31号抵达韩国。
克里表示，金正恩的做法是〝挑衅性的、危险而鲁莽的。美国不会接受核武器化的朝鲜。〞
联合国秘书长潘基文也表示，朝鲜走上了与国际社会〝碰撞的道路〞，目前的危机〝已经太过头了〞。
面对局势如此紧张的局面，是否会爆发战争？
〝复旦大学国际问题 研究学院〞韩国朝鲜研究中心主任石源华表示，朝鲜半岛看起来非常的紧张，好像是要打仗，但实际上打仗的可能微乎其微。
复旦大学国际问题研究学院韩国朝鲜研究中心主任石源华：〝从朝鲜方面来讲，他口头上的威胁更多一点。现在这个局面，双方还是在一种较劲吧，我想他们双方的闹局，也已经是到头了，是可以坐下来谈了。〞
时政评论专家伍凡 对于朝鲜战争 是否会爆发，提出了目前的两种观点。一种观点认为，任何时候都会擦枪走火，因为战争并不是按计划预期发生的，突然一下冒火了，战争也就爆发了。
政论家伍凡：〝一派就是不会打，不会打的原因是，金正恩在利用这个形式来控制他内部的权力，他的目标是对内，而不完全是对外，当然对外也有个目标，就是用这个叫嚣来拉拢美国跟他谈判。〞
那么，中共急着调遣兵力又为了什么？
《美联社》的报导分析，中国（共）军方加强在中、朝边境的军事活动，表明中国（共）对朝鲜、韩国和美国之间的新一轮冲突感到担忧。美国官员则认为，中国主要是担心：如果朝鲜的社会制度垮掉，那么，将会有大量的朝鲜难民逃往中国。
时事评论员林子旭则表示，对中共来讲，最近一两年，中共的盟友死的死、亡的亡，危机四伏的中共，目前显得空前孤立，如果朝鲜这个政权也垮掉了，中共会难以承受。
林子旭说，中共出于心理上的极度恐惧，想要保住朝鲜，不过，目前也只是虚张声势罢了。
采访编辑/常春 后制/黎安安
Korean Peninsula Tension Escalates, Chinese Military
in Combat Readiness
Following declaring the Korean Peninsula in a “state of war”
by nullifying the Armistice Agreement and
cutting off inter-Korean military hotline, North Korea threatened
to fully activate all its nuclear facilities on March 31.
Chinese troops were said to mobilize to the border
and the army, navy and air forces were ordered to level one alert status, the highest combat readiness state.
According to an Associated Press report on April 1, U.S.
intelligence reported the Chinese People’s Liberation Army
(PLA) has mobilized its forces and stepped up its military
activity on the Sino-Korean border since mid-March.
It was reported,”the troops were part of the 190th Mechanized
Infantry Brigade, stationed in Benxi, in Liaoning Province.”
Low-flying PLA fighters were heard and seen at several
border locations in China, and, “China’s navy also conducted live-firing naval drills by warships in the Yellow Sea.”
“Large groups of soldiers were seen on the streets in Ji’an,”
city of Jilin province, amid reports that
“the PLA had been ordered to combat readiness status,”
and “PLA heavy armored vehicles,
including tanks and armored personnel carriers,
were reported moving near the Yalu River that separates China from North Korea.”
The report also stated that North Korea
is “mobilizing missile forces,
including road-mobile short and medium-range missiles”
believed to be “North Korea’s response
to the ongoing U.S.-South Korean military exercises.”
US Secretary of State John Kerry held talks
in Washington on the afternoon of April 2 with his South Korean counterpart, Yun Byung-Se.
Washington has also deployed two US destroyers
to the South Korean sea.
Two F-22 stealth fighters were deployed to South Korea
on March 31 to support Foal Eagle exercise, the ongoing U.S.-South Korean military drills.
Kerry said, “What Kim Jong Un has been choosing
to do is provocative.
It is dangerous, reckless and the United States
will not accept (North Korea) as a nuclear state.”
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon warned,
“The current crisis has already gone too far,”and,
“there is no need for the DPRK to be on a collision course
with the international community.”
Is a war ahead with the current intense situation?
Shi Yuanhua, Senior Research Fellow of Department
of Diplomacy at Fudan University did not believe
the tightened tension in the Korean Peninsula
will lead to a war.
Shi Yuanhua: “I believe North Korea is engaged in a
verbal threat. It is more like a rivalry between the two nations.
I believe their tension has come to an end and it’s time
to conduct a talk between the two sides.”
Political commentator Wu Fan had
two hypotheses regarding the peninsula war.
One is that war can happen anytime without planning.
Wu Fan: “The other is that war is out of the question.
Kim Jong-un is manipulating the situation to control
his power, his internal target.
Externally, it’s a way for him to get the U.S.
to negotiate with him.”
Why would Communist China mobilize its army?
According to the Associated Press report, U.S.”officials said the Chinese military activities appear to be based on
concerns about a new outbreak of conflict between North Korea and South Korea and the United States.”
The U.S. officials believe “China’s main fear for its fraternal
communist client regime in North Korea is a collapse of order that leads to large-scale refugee flows into China.”
Political commentator Lin Zixu indicated that
Communist China has been losing its allies these years.
The unprecedented isolation will be particularly hard
for Communist China to deal with if the North Korean regime collapsed.
Lin Zixu said, “China wants to keep North Korea
out of its own insecurity.
However, it’s still at the state of
acting (with the military exercises).”
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本文标签：中共, 华府, 吉林, 国务卿, 政权, 新唐人, 时政评论, 朝鲜, 潘基文, 美国, 美国国务卿, 金正恩, 韩国
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